Agriculture output growth flat to lower in 2nd quarter

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FREEPIK

Progress Inside the Philippine agriculture sector is estimated to have been flat To diminish in the second quarter in the absence of primary occasions Which will have dampened manufacturing.

Roehlano M. Briones, a senior evaluation fellow On the Philippine Institute for Enchancment Research, said in a Mobile telephone interview with BusinessWorld That He is not Aware of any huge-scale factors that affected the farm sector By way of the quarter.

“I am not anticipating a lot of a adverse Outcome. However neither Can we see A very constructive outlook for agriculture. I am seeing tempered growth for the sector,” Mr. Briones said.

The Philippine Statistics Authority Is about to launch its second quarter report on the efficiency of the agriculture sector right now, Aug. 9. The sector submited 0.5% growth by worth of manufacturing in the second quarter Of two020.  

Farm sector output declined 1.2% decline in 2020 and contracted 3.3% drop in The primary quarter of this yr. Farm manufacturing accounts for A few 10th of gross home product and 1 / 4 of the workforce.

The Division of Agriculture (DA) lohave beend its 2021 growth goal for the farm sector to 2%, from the preliminary objective Of two.5%, citing the challenges posed by the African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreak and lockdown measures As a Outcome of of coronavirus illness 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.  

Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar said in a Mobile telephone message That He is hoping for the agriculture sector and subsectors Similar to crops, poultry, and fisheries to submit growth for the quarter, Aside from the liveinventory subsector, which was hit by ASF. 

“An factor that contributed to attaining growth for the agriculture sector is the exhausting work carried out by our farmers and fisherfolk, Collectively with assist given by the DA And native authorities models,” Mr. Dar said.

Roy S. Kempis, Pampanga State Agricultural College professor, said in a Mobile telephone message that he expects agricultural manufacturing To return in little modified.

“My projection is flat (of) 0.21%, (within A selection of) 0.1–1.0%. Crops and fisheries subsectors will contribute to constructive growth; liveinventory and poultry subsectors will proceed To say no and Decelerate growth,” Mr. Kempis said.

“The climate Is An important problem On this efficiency As a Outcome of the photo voltaic is up and there are fewer rain-producing disturbances By way of the interval. With irrigation, crops produce extra; with fewer climate factors, extra fish is caught in the open seas as fishermen are More probably to Exit fishing,” he added.

In a Mobile telephone message, Federation of Free Farmers Nationwide Supervisor Raul Q. Montemayor said An enhance in output Will not be “surprising,” but famous that growth decides Might be deceptive.

“We will have greater output When it Includes quantity but decrease growth in worth of manufacturing if farmgate prices are low,” Mr. Montemayor said.

Mr. Montemayor said the second quarter had usually good climate favorable For many crops but manufacturing Might have been held again by the liveinventory subsector, notably the hog enterprise, As a Outcome of of ASF outbreak.  

“The DA Ought to be focusing extra on enhancing farm productiveness and competitiveness Rather than simply growth goals,” Mr. Montemayor said.  

Rolando E. Tambago, Pork Producers Federation of the Philippines, Inc. president, estimated that hog manufacturing declined for the second quarter, citing the low confidence of hog raisers in reinvesting.

Mr. Tambago said demand May even be weak As a Outcome of of pandemic and as pork imports enter the nation beneath scale againd tariff costs.

“Swine manufacturing will proceed To say no till early subsequent yr As a Outcome of The huge import quantity of pork will spill over till The primary quarter Of two022,” Mr. Tambago said.

Pork imports have been expanded to quickly enhance current and scale again prices as ASF scale againd the hog inventory.  

The DA recently declared six places in Batangas — Lipa Metropolis, San Jose, Malvar, Rosario, Taysan, and Nasugbu — as formally free from ASF. — Revin Mikhael D. Ochave